Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.527763 1.741449 1.973921 2.245579 2.554312 2.894278 3.297077
2025-11-02 1.185789 1.474172 1.815441 2.248970 2.785090 3.426511 4.252652
2025-11-09 0.972663 1.284182 1.674941 2.200885 2.890399 3.763971 4.955858
2025-11-16 0.845668 1.173060 1.603836 2.211809 3.047942 4.158135 5.746038
2025-11-23 0.756032 1.094729 1.559271 2.242472 3.221904 4.576321 6.594391
2025-11-30 0.671516 1.010589 1.493306 2.229983 3.326160 4.898275 7.328147
2025-12-07 0.593620 0.925507 1.414406 2.186221 3.374513 5.136496 7.952651
2025-12-14 0.523959 0.844178 1.331082 2.124307 3.384817 5.312553 8.490884
2025-12-21 0.473398 0.786524 1.276974 2.099823 3.446655 5.566738 9.165152
2025-12-28 0.450332 0.770101 1.285086 2.173274 3.667921 6.085206 10.301183
2026-01-04 0.410196 0.721088 1.235268 2.145764 3.719070 6.330151 11.003919
2026-01-11 0.391576 0.706593 1.240889 2.210941 3.929727 6.852840 12.215301
2026-01-18 0.357214 0.664547 1.201343 2.204733 4.035290 7.238373 13.284965
2026-01-25 0.326971 0.627332 1.167757 2.208099 4.162905 7.683099 14.522995
2026-02-01 0.293564 0.580119 1.110568 2.160879 4.190928 7.948449 15.453866
2026-02-08 0.271708 0.552303 1.086012 2.171607 4.327172 8.423007 16.822568
2026-02-15 0.254525 0.531608 1.072563 2.201716 4.502557 8.985836 18.415349
2026-02-22 0.234431 0.502691 1.039828 2.189453 4.591469 9.387291 19.724036
2026-03-01 0.213346 0.469319 0.994585 2.146480 4.612493 9.653788 20.780557
2026-03-08 0.192834 0.434869 0.943526 2.085683 4.589319 9.826304 21.654445
2026-03-15 0.177721 0.410546 0.911274 2.061642 4.641574 10.159184 22.901861
2026-03-22 0.171968 0.406551 0.922376 2.133767 4.910852 10.977930 25.292455
2026-03-29 0.158881 0.384285 0.890901 2.106753 4.955083 11.309844 26.622618